Calendar Year Performance 2014Calendar Year Performance 2015Calendar Year Performance 2016Calendar Year Performance 2017Calendar Year Performance 2018Calendar Year Performance 2019Calendar Year Performance 2020Calendar Year Performance 2021Calendar Year Performance 2022Calendar Year Performance 2023
+ 5.3 %
+ 0.2 %
+ 9.8 %
+ 7.3 %
- 14.4 %
+ 18.6 %
+ 20.4 %
- 5.2 %
- 9.6 %
+ 7.8 %
Net Asset Value
137.4 €
Asset Under Management
365 M €
Market
Emerging markets
SFDR - Fund Classification
Article
8
Data as of: 28 Mar 2024.
Data as of: 18 Apr 2024.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor). The return may increase or decrease as a result of currency fluctuations, for the shares which are not currency-hedged.
Emerging equity markets were up in March, as were global markets as a whole. However, Chinese markets were stable. Early in the month, the government announced it would be targeting 5% growth over the year and trying to cap the deficit at 3% of GDP, but its optimism failed to convince investors. China continues to face structural problems despite a slight improvement in certain economic indicators. For example, the NBS manufacturing PMI rose, and inflation of +0.7% put an end to five months of deflation. At a bond level, there were a large number of central bank meetings in the emerging world. Most of these central banks adopted a slightly more hawkish tone. Although they cut interest rates further in Latin America, they are expected to scale back their easing or take a break in the coming months. Although the local debt index (in euro) was flat in March, emerging market debt denominated in hard currencies continued to perform well, largely because spreads narrowed by 24 basis points.
Performance commentary
The Fund delivered a positive return, beating its reference indicator. We benefited from our exposure to the artificial intelligence theme through Taiwan Semiconductor and Samsung Electronics. Our selection of Chinese stocks, including JD.com, MINISO and Anta Sports, was also profitable. However, our Brazilian holdings (Eletrobras) were somewhat disappointing. At a fixed income level, our selection of emerging market debt denominated in hard currencies continued to generate a positive return. The main sources of performance in this segment were Argentina, Ecuador and Romania. The contribution from emerging market debt denominated in local currency was smaller, with Mexico and Poland the pick of the bunch. In contrast, our long positioning on Hungarian bonds weighed on performance, as did our currency strategies, especially those involving exposure to the Mexican peso and Japanese yen.
Outlook strategy
We remain optimistic for emerging market assets in 2024. The vast emerging world presents numerous opportunities across all regions and asset classes. The latest macroeconomic indicators suggest that manufacturing activity has bottomed out in the United States, the Eurozone and China. This is a big support factor for commodity-producing countries, especially in Latin America. We also take a positive view of Asian economies, particularly South Korea and Taiwan, which should benefit from the new AI cycle. At a fixed income level, we remain long on emerging market debt denominated in hard currencies, but have been taking profits on our best performing positions since the beginning of the year. We have reduced our Eastern European positions, especially those on Hungarian bonds, as the market has already priced in a number of future rate cuts. In terms of local debt, we particularly like Mexico where we are anticipating further rate cuts from the central bank, and Brazil as the market’s terminal rate for the country still looks too high. We are keeping modified duration close to 240 basis points and continuing to protect the portfolio with index hedges. We are leaving equity exposure at around 22%, with significant exposure to Asian markets and, in particular, Korean and Taiwanese technology stocks as the artificial intelligence theme is leading to sustained growth in demand for semiconductors and electronic components. We took advantage of the Chinese share rally to reduce our exposure to China, and increased our exposure to the Indian market by opening a position on property company Macrotech Developers. Although we still have high exposure to the euro (the Fund’s base currency), we increased exposure to the currencies of commodity producing countries, including the Brazilian real and Chilean peso, and certain Asian currencies such as the Korean won.
Reference to certain securities and financial instruments is for illustrative purposes to highlight stocks that are or have been included in the portfolios of funds in the Carmignac range. This is not intended to promote direct investment in those instruments, nor does it constitute investment advice. The Management Company is not subject to prohibition on trading in these instruments prior to issuing any communication. The portfolios of Carmignac funds may change without previous notice.
The reference to a ranking or prize, is no guarantee of the future results of the UCIS or the manager.
Carmignac Portfolio is a sub-fund of Carmignac Portfolio SICAV, an investment company under Luxembourg law, conforming to the UCITS Directive.
The information presented above is not contractually binding and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor), where applicable. Investors may lose some or all of their capital, as the capital in the UCI is not guaranteed. Access to the products and services presented herein may be restricted for some individuals or countries. Taxation depends on the situation of the individual. The risks, fees and recommended investment period for the UCI presented are detailed in the KIDs (key information documents) and prospectuses available on this website. The KID must be made available to the subscriber prior to purchase.). The reference to a ranking or prize, is no guarantee of the future results of the UCITS or the manager.
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Market environment
Emerging equity markets were up in March, as were global markets as a whole. However, Chinese markets were stable. Early in the month, the government announced it would be targeting 5% growth over the year and trying to cap the deficit at 3% of GDP, but its optimism failed to convince investors. China continues to face structural problems despite a slight improvement in certain economic indicators. For example, the NBS manufacturing PMI rose, and inflation of +0.7% put an end to five months of deflation. At a bond level, there were a large number of central bank meetings in the emerging world. Most of these central banks adopted a slightly more hawkish tone. Although they cut interest rates further in Latin America, they are expected to scale back their easing or take a break in the coming months. Although the local debt index (in euro) was flat in March, emerging market debt denominated in hard currencies continued to perform well, largely because spreads narrowed by 24 basis points.